Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1272.884091 1444.081728 1633.326697 1858.640748 2120.367817 2415.730294 2775.579952
2025-10-26 1012.811649 1240.823187 1516.180185 1875.783765 2336.783614 2913.001596 3695.701907
2025-11-02 887.893954 1144.008419 1471.962348 1927.885580 2553.503250 3393.892379 4628.770166
2025-11-09 788.137078 1056.807148 1417.289594 1944.444691 2709.386682 3800.643356 5515.087278
2025-11-16 709.994144 984.578652 1367.881928 1953.293940 2845.067273 4186.546250 6424.315033
2025-11-23 650.681790 929.527673 1332.715866 1972.984189 2992.309059 4602.253119 7442.347555
2025-11-30 605.156239 888.133236 1310.647676 2006.164355 3159.887044 5067.734451 8618.117465
2025-12-07 547.045393 821.086232 1241.394597 1954.577824 3179.709293 5287.255387 9396.167673
2025-12-14 497.167569 761.552281 1177.068871 1901.969588 3188.086379 5483.469282 10159.323277
2025-12-21 452.362461 705.756737 1112.902426 1841.414152 3172.852463 5631.551913 10850.269107
2025-12-28 435.970131 694.382438 1120.091701 1904.081067 3386.473466 6234.054859 12575.935431
2026-01-04 415.341036 673.920225 1109.606590 1933.235288 3539.808884 6740.422775 14196.188122
2026-01-11 394.199629 651.632722 1095.329028 1956.623308 3690.891539 7277.959378 16034.482459
2026-01-18 374.102610 629.567553 1079.595669 1975.938130 3837.717033 7833.699369 18055.205432
2026-01-25 360.956670 618.538631 1082.477349 2031.148645 4065.698931 8603.796546 20797.260340
2026-02-01 343.981956 599.033990 1067.620803 2048.739820 4214.806617 9219.264762 23291.999803
2026-02-08 327.502627 579.042968 1049.899661 2058.135393 4346.553118 9815.761596 25892.031451
2026-02-15 313.744609 563.036805 1038.362052 2079.044531 4507.248969 10511.544468 28974.026562
2026-02-22 302.606830 551.135736 1033.781095 2114.282729 4706.585783 11342.422454 32714.415756
2026-03-01 283.080915 521.398294 990.730192 2059.498759 4679.256198 11567.971554 34575.306835
2026-03-08 265.060269 493.403056 949.070369 2003.643027 4642.012518 11760.781043 36387.415647
2026-03-15 247.667844 465.528184 905.589498 1939.366506 4575.234195 11860.328532 37910.249226
2026-03-22 243.333176 463.870536 917.274970 2005.884585 4859.983210 13033.865453 43743.834927